A few days ago, Brad Sams published an article about the future of Hololens. It makes a lot of noise since it was published in Thurrott. Of course, Paul Thurrott is a well-known guru in the Microsoft world.
Note: Personally, I think that he and Mary Jo Foley are the 2 non-official of Microsoft more reliable sources that anyone can read.
Well, the quick summary of the article is the following
- It seems like yesterday, I have already been 2 years since the official Hololens preentation
- Brad contacted some people from Microsoft and succeeded in getting an idea of the Roadmap of Hololens as product
- The Roadmap includes:
- Version 2, mostly for Hardware improvements over the current version (v1). More power, less size, more autonomy, etc. The classic that we can expect in a version 2. This version was initially expected for this year
- Version 3, which is defined as a “radical change”. Here I assume that we will see new functions, new capabilities, etc. The date planned, thus perhaps 2019
- It’s been 2 years of the launch of Hololens and in today worlds it seems to have no competition, so that’s why Microsoft has decided to skip the version 2 and focus all efforts on version 3
So the conclusion is that there will be no new devices in the near future, and it seems that some big promises stay as that: “promises”. (Magic Leap sample is one good history for this)
I think that reading the article is worthwhile, although don’t expect anything big at the same, it is only the confirmation of rumours that we already knew (and who are more sense have).
Personally I think the positives to take into consideration today are as follows:
- Windows 10 continues to evolve and this helps Hololens. Platforms such as Windows Holographic are a breakthrough and Hololens is basal stone on which this platform stands. We see that there are new devices and manufacturers who use this platform, with which not only Microsoft bets on this road
- The Hardware still has much to exploit. I have spoken on occasion of some shortcomings of the device, however still being far one of the best virtual experiences
- The creation of Apps and development tools are becoming more stable and friendly. If I remember my first days with Unity and Visual Studio, compared with what I can do today, there’s a huge difference
Windows 10 sigue evolucionando y esto benefica a Hololens. Plataformas como Windows Holographic son un gran avance y Hololens es la piedra basal sobre la que se sostiene esta plataforma. Vemos que hay nuevos devices y fabricantes que utilizan esta plataforma, con lo que no solo Microsoft apuesta en este camino
And the dark side here is to wait 2 years is a long time for a new version. If we have learnt anything it is that a model based on short cycles of trial and error and learning is the one that works. If there is a version planned for 2019, this means that we will be able to test it in 2018, these are minimum 18 months of GAP so that another manufacturer gain ground in a market where today Microsoft sets the trend.
Note: it reminds me of other MS products in the past. They didn’t move at the right time and after this, they never could keep pace with the competition.
Greetings @ Toronto